HSP 135-01
Albion College
Fall 02025

Discussion Questions for TLC, Ch. 11-12
DL: Enky

0. Fun discussion question: If you were sent back in time to age 5 and you kept all your memories, would your knowledge of the future and the use of it greatly change other events (like the butterfly effect) creating a scenario where your knowledge is now useless?

1. How does the objective view reconcile the idea that an event's probability rests upon admitted statistics  while the conclusion about the individual event remains a "conception or conjecture," not yet a fact?

2. In the realm of Probability, when a conclusion about an individual event cannot "ripened into facts" (because it is unknown), how does the process still align with the objective viewpoint, and what is the ultimate justification for the conclusions made in Probability?

3. If the goal of probability is often to anticipate (or conceive of) an event, why is the resulting "futurity" considered only relative (in relation to when the evidence is consulted) and not absolute?